
| NEWSNOTES This Union Budget is Anti-people and Anti-States
Dr. Asim Dasgupta T he BJP-led Central Government has proposed this Union Budget at a time when the entire country is confronted with a serious economic crisis. From the standpoint of vast majority of common people, this crisis has taken the form of slackening of industrial and agricultural growth, increase in the incidence of. unemployment and price-rise, and defficiencies in social sectors relating to education, health, etc. Over the last about seven years, since 1991-92, following the IMF loan conditionalities, a policy of so-called economic reforms and liberalisation, has been followed in our country. As a result of this policy, average annual rate of growth of industrial production has fallen from 8.5% in the seven-year period before 1991-92 to 5.9% in the seven-year period after 1991-92, and this rate of industrial growth has now fallen to only 3.3% in the first six months of the current year. Similarly, the average annual rate of growth of foodgrains production has also slipped from 2.5% in the previous seven years to 1.5% in the latter seven years. As a result, incidence of unemployment has increased, and there has also been an extraordinary increase in the prices of essential commodities. In other words, the IMF policy of economic reforms and liberalisation has failed to solve these basic problems of the common people relating to unemployment and inflation. There has also been a failure in the social sphere on education and public health. Despite this failure of the IMF-model in India, and also in several other countries, the present Union Budget has basically tried to follow the same IMF policies. As a result, this Budget has once again failed to provide any answer to these basic problems of the common people of our country.One of the major propelling forces behind increase in output and employment could have been in terms of increase in budgetary provision for infrastructural facilities such as power and irrigation, and also for employment generation programmes. Unfortunately, contrary to the general observations of the Union Finance Minster, budgetary provision has actually fallen in each of these sectors. For instance, in the case of power, she Central budgetary provision has fallen from Rs. 30,082 crores in 1998-99 to Rs. 27,381 crores in 1999-2000; in irrigation, from Rs. 374 crores to Rs. 348 crores; in rural employment generation, from Rs. 8,182 crores to Rs. 7,843 crores, and in industrial sector as a whole, from Rs. 11,551 crores to Rs. 8,672 crores. In the social sectors, particularly in relation to education, despite the expectations raised by Prof.Amartya Sen's getting Nobel Prize in economics this year and his correct emphasis on the need of universalisation of primary education, this Union Budget has once again failed to rise upto the occasion and make a specific commitment to this target. Similarly, no political will has been expressed for comprehensively controlling the price rise of essential commodities. Not only has the expenditure side of the budget failed to provide any direction towards solving the major problems of the common people, the major burden in the resource-raising side of the budget has also fallen the same common people. Of the total additional resource mobililsation of about Rs. 10,000 crores, Rs. 4,591 crores would be raised by additional duty on diesel and by a prebudget hike in administered prices of essential items amounting to Rs. 4000 crores, all adversely affecting the poorer and middle income groups. Unfortunately, no attempt has been made to unearth 'black money', which is estimated to accumulate by at least Rs. 1 lakh crores every year by evading Central taxes only. Even if a fraction of the 'black money' could have been unearthed, not only the other regressive forms of taxation would become unnecessary, but a more significant dent would be made in reducing the fiscal deficit. Although this Union Budget has taken some credit in fiscal deficit reduction by taking the small savings-related loan outside the Central Budget, following a suggestion from this State, there is no proposal in this Budget to increase and restore the rate of interest on small-savings at the preexisting levels which all the States had correctly demanded. Moreover, there has been, in the current year, an actual fall in devolution of the States' share of Central taxes, and there is an apprehension of the same in the next year. This Union Budget is, unfortunately, therefore, both anti-people and anti-States. There is now a critical need of a new alternative approach to economic policy at the national level to resolve the problems of stagnation, unemployment, inflation and defficiencies in the social sectors in the interest of vast majority of people of our country. From West Bengal, we have been proposing to the Centre the outline of such an alternative approach for the past several years. Dasgupta is State Finance Finister |
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